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WGUS75 KPUB 252333

FFSPUB



FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO

520 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2007



COC119-260145-

TELLER CO-

520 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2007



...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR THE 

HAYMAN BURN SCAR IN NORTHWESTERN TELLER COUNTY...



AT 517 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 

INDICATE A STORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE HAYMAN BURN 

SCAR.  THE AREA RECEIVING THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL LIES FROM TRAIL 

CREEK WESTWARD...INCLUDING TURKEY CREEK.  WEST CREEK AND TROUT CREEK 

ARE EAST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT HEAVY HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP IN 

THESE BASINS LATER IN THE EVENING.



A THUNDERSTORM WITH EXCESSIVE RAIN WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY 

OVER THE HAYMAN BURN SCAR THROUGH AT LEAST 600 PM MDT.  FLOODING AND 

ROAD WASHOUTS ARE LIKELY...MAINLY FROM TRAIL CREEK 

WESTWARD...INCLUDING TURKEY CREEK.  LESS SEVERE FLOODING IS EXPECTED 

FARTHER WEST ACROSS THE WEST CREEK AND TROUT CREEK BASINS. PEOPLE IN 

THE HAYMAN BURN AREA OF EXTREME NORTHWEST TELLER COUNTY SHOULD MOVE 

TO HIGH GROUND AT ONCE.



DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT RAIN TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES HAVE 

FALLEN ACROSS THE HAYMAN BURN SCAR...IN EXTREME NORTHWEST TELLER 

COUNTY...BETWEEN 430 AND 530 PM MDT.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF AN INCH 

OR MORE IS POSSIBLE.  THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL LIKELY RESULT IN 

FLOODING AND ROAD WASHOUTS OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST TELLER 

COUNTY...MAINLY FROM TRAIL CREEK WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE TURKEY

CREEK DRAINAGE.



JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH

FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY VEGETATION...RUNS OFF

ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A

MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. ADDITIONALLY...THE SOILS IN A BURN SCAR

BECOME UNSTABLE WHEN IT RAINS...RESULTING IN MUD FLOWS AND FALLING

ROCK. ROADWAYS CAN BE WASHED OUT BY THE FORCE OF THE RUSHING WATER.



LAT...LON 3899 10531 3908 10514 3912 10512 3912 10531



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