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WGUS75 KPUB 260043

FFSPUB



FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO

630 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2007



COC119-260145-

TELLER CO-

630 PM MDT WED JUL 25 2007



...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT FOR THE 

HAYMAN BURN SCAR IN NORTHWESTERN TELLER COUNTY...



AT 630 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 

MOST OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED OFF OF THE TELLER COUNTY PORTION OF 

THE HAYMAN BURN SCAR.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED OVER PORTIONS 

OF THE SCAR FARTHER TO THE NORTH.  THE AREA THAT RECEIVED THE 

HEAVIEST RAINFALL IN TELLER COUNTY LIES FROM TRAIL CREEK WESTWARD... 

INCLUDING TURKEY CREEK...CEDAR MOUNTAIN ROAD...FOREST SERVICE ROAD 

205 AND FOREST SERVICE ROAD 360.  THE WEST CREEK AND TROUT CREEK 

DRAINAGES WERE EAST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL.



RAINFALL ACROSS THE TELLER COUNTY PORTION OF THE HAYMAN SCAR WAS 

LIGHT OR NONEXISTENT AT 630 PM MDT.  HOWEVER...RADAR INDICATED SOME

NEW DEVELOPMENT WAS BEGINNING TO OCCUR IN AND AROUND THE HAYMAN SCAR.

IT IS POSSIBLE THAT HEAVY RAIN COULD REDEVELOP OVER THE TELLER 

COUNTY PORTION OF THE BURN SCAR THROUGH 745 PM MDT.  EVEN WITHOUT 

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL...THE THREAT OF FLOODING AND ROAD WASHOUTS

ACROSS EXTREME NORTHWEST TELLER COUNTY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 745 PM 

MDT...DUE TO THE INTENSE RAINFALL THAT HAS ALREADY OCCURRED.



DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATED THAT 1 TO AS MUCH AS 3 INCHES OF

RAIN MAY HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHWEST PORTION OF TELLER

COUNTY SINCE 430 PM MDT.  HOWEVER...GROUND TRUTH GAGE REPORTS 

INDICATE THAT RADAR ESTIMATES WERE RUNNING HIGH...WITH 1 TO 1.5 

INCHES OF RAIN MORE LIKELY.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL UP TO .25 INCHES IS 

POSSIBLE OVER THE TELLER COUNTY PORTION OF THE HAYMAN SCAR THROUGH 

745 PM MDT.  GREATER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IF STORMS INTENSIFY MORE 

THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED.



JUST A SMALL AMOUNT OF RAINFALL ON A BURN SCAR CAN LEAD TO FLASH

FLOODING. WATER THAT IS NORMALLY ABSORBED BY VEGETATION...RUNS OFF

ALMOST INSTANTLY. THIS CAUSES CREEKS AND DRAINAGE AREAS TO FLOOD AT A

MUCH FASTER RATE THAN NORMAL. ADDITIONALLY...THE SOILS IN A BURN SCAR

BECOME UNSTABLE WHEN IT RAINS...RESULTING IN MUD FLOWS AND FALLING

ROCK. ROADWAYS CAN BE WASHED OUT BY THE FORCE OF THE RUSHING WATER. 



LAT...LON 3899 10531 3908 10514 3912 10512 3912 10531



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